Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Polymarket Deutschland Legal) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Markt ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Markt ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Markt ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Markt ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Markt ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 196.5 | 95% |
| O/U 198.5 | 94% |
| O/U 200.5 | 92% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 1.5 | 90% |
| O/U 202.5 | 89% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 87% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | 86% |
| O/U 204.5 | 86% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 9.5 | 86% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 85% |
| O/U 206.5 | 83% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| Spread -2.5 | 81% |
| O/U 208.5 | 79% |
| 1H Moneyline | 79% |
| Spread -4.5 | 77% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 77% |
| Spread -5.5 | 75% |
| O/U 210.5 | 75% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -6.5 | 72% |
| O/U 212.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 214.5 | 68% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 68% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 66% |
| Spread -8.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 216.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 64% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 63% |
| Bucks O/U 93.5 | 63% |
| Spread -9.5 | 62% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 62% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Bucks O/U 99.5 | 62% |
| Bucks O/U 97.5 | 62% |
| Bucks O/U 95.5 | 62% |
| Celtics O/U 107.5 | 62% |
| Celtics O/U 105.5 | 62% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 61% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Bucks O/U 91.5 | 61% |
| Spread -10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 218.5 | 60% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| Celtics O/U 113.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Celtics O/U 109.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 58% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Spread -11.5 | 56% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 56% |
| Celtics O/U 111.5 | 56% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 54% |
| Bucks O/U 103.5 | 54% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| O/U 221.5 | 53% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Celtics O/U 117.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| Bucks O/U 101.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 53% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 222.5 | 51% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 51% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Celtics 1H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| Celtics O/U 118.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| O/U 223.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Celtics O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Bucks O/U 105.5 | 46% |
| Celtics O/U 119.5 | 46% |
| O/U 224.5 | 45% |
| Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 44% |
| Spread -15.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 42% |
| O/U 226.5 | 41% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -16.5 | 40% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Celtics O/U 125.5 | 40% |
| Celtics O/U 127.5 | 40% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 115.5 | 39% |
| Celtics O/U 129.5 | 39% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 38% |
| Bucks O/U 107.5 | 38% |
| Bucks O/U 109.5 | 38% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Celtics O/U 121.5 | 37% |
| Celtics O/U 123.5 | 37% |
| Bucks O/U 111.5 | 37% |
| Bucks O/U 113.5 | 37% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 36% |
| O/U 228.5 | 35% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -18.5 | 34% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| O/U 230.5 | 32% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 32% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Tyler Herro: Steals O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| O/U 232.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| O/U 234.5 | 25% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 24% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 22% |
| O/U 236.5 | 21% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Spread -24.5 | 20% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| O/U 238.5 | 17% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 17% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| O/U 240.5 | 14% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Tyler Herro: Steals O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| O/U 242.5 | 12% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| O/U 244.5 | 10% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| O/U 246.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 7% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| O/U 248.5 | 6% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 6% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| O/U 250.5 | 5% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 252.5 | 4% |
| Spread -36.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| Spread -11.5 | 3% |
| Spread -38.5 | 3% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 95% Chance für prognose: celtics vs. bucks. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NBA game between Celtics and Bucks, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $293K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch ist diese Seite ein Plattform-Status-Snapshot, nicht eine Trading-Empfehlung. Wir listen die regulatorischen Anforderungen jeder Plattform — Polymarket (CFTC-Konflikt seit 2022), Kalshi (CFTC-reguliert, US-only), Betfair (UK-lizensiert, geo-Block in DE), Manifold (Spielgeld, keine Regulierung) — und zeigen die Live-Quote nur dort, wo wir saubere Daten haben.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Auf Polymarket erfolgt die Auflösung on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. Auszahlung in USDC ist sofort und automatisch, ohne KYC. Aus deutscher Steuersicht zählen Gewinne aus Prediction-Märkten typischerweise als sonstige Einkünfte (§ 22 EStG) bei einer Haltedauer unter einem Jahr — Spekulationsfrist anwendbar; konsultieren Sie eine Steuerberatung für Ihren Einzelfall.
Kalshi settelt in USD und meldet automatisch an die IRS — für deutsche Nutzer derzeit ohnehin nicht zugänglich. Betfair settelt nach UK-Recht und ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Manifold ist Spielgeld und löst keine Steuerpflicht aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Ist Polymarket in Deutschland legal?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert — eine eigentliche Nutzung über die Polymarket-Seite ist nicht möglich. Die rechtliche Lage in DE selbst ist Graubereich: keine explizite Erlaubnis, keine explizite Verbote für Prediction-Markets. Polymarket Deutschland Legal hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint.
- Wie werden Gewinne in DE versteuert?
- Aus deutscher Steuersicht typischerweise als sonstige Einkünfte (§ 22 Nr. 3 EStG) bei Haltedauer unter einem Jahr. Über ein Jahr greift möglicherweise die Spekulationsfrist. Wir können keine Steuerberatung leisten — konsultieren Sie eine Steuerberatung für Ihren Einzelfall.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte Glücksspiel?
- Rechtlich unklar in DE. Einige Auslegungen sehen sie als 'Wetten' (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag relevant), andere als 'Termingeschäft' (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz). Bisher gibt es keine Präzedenz-Urteile spezifisch für on-chain Prediction-Markets.
- Gibt es eine Höchstgrenze für Auszahlungen?
- Keine plattform-seitige Höchstgrenze. Sie können beliebig große Beträge auszahlen, vorausgesetzt KYC ist abgeschlossen. SEPA-Bank-Auszahlungen über €15.000 werden zusätzlich für Anti-Money-Laundering geprüft (gesetzliche Pflicht für alle Plattformen).
- Was passiert wenn die Regulierung sich ändert?
- Bei einer Regulierungsänderung in Ihrer Jurisdiktion (z.B. Verbot von Prediction-Märkten) würde Polymarket Deutschland Legal nicht-mehr-zugängliche Geo-Räume blockieren und Auszahlungen weiterhin abwickeln. Ihre Gelder bleiben jederzeit auszahlbar.
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